Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.486893 12.082350 13.793173 15.758855 17.949473 20.310200 23.040997
2025-09-21 8.306427 10.451814 12.915812 15.934510 19.511240 23.591522 28.574494
2025-09-28 6.900130 9.297108 12.198526 15.927581 20.547892 26.037124 32.999861
2025-10-05 6.074663 8.668786 11.948695 16.331852 21.960061 28.863668 37.881548
2025-10-12 5.387219 8.099506 11.665805 16.598904 23.133411 31.371604 42.404619
2025-10-19 4.769440 7.532780 11.301746 16.683487 24.016705 33.492430 46.467314
2025-10-26 4.093504 6.796207 10.620517 16.255715 24.149367 34.594938 49.204492
2025-11-02 3.561630 6.202703 10.072402 15.944682 24.383087 35.795160 52.066286
2025-11-09 3.102813 5.663934 9.546238 15.606761 24.529693 36.846896 54.726710
2025-11-16 2.720437 5.199743 9.083876 15.313691 24.699046 37.905916 57.400115
2025-11-23 2.349837 4.710014 8.534288 14.838304 24.556160 38.493802 59.407499
2025-11-30 2.142077 4.473742 8.362580 14.923425 25.234006 40.257895 63.109738
2025-12-07 1.937764 4.223668 8.151420 14.936444 25.808959 41.905316 66.721966
2025-12-14 1.782438 4.045387 8.043876 15.104391 26.622905 43.924932 70.930342
2025-12-21 1.615664 3.824708 7.842333 15.097758 27.151337 45.523724 74.555048
2025-12-28 1.525151 3.743052 7.876938 15.484653 28.316606 48.113907 79.716150
2026-01-04 1.424049 3.627585 7.839254 15.740267 29.272306 50.404983 84.482569
2026-01-11 1.309429 3.469593 7.708662 15.821234 29.936531 52.256494 88.622959
2026-01-18 1.147560 3.187695 7.318613 15.411783 29.754832 52.764870 90.705632
2026-01-25 1.016245 2.955877 7.003856 15.114122 29.740048 53.524737 93.182893
2026-02-01 0.896680 2.734095 6.688267 14.790783 29.658469 54.163427 95.473924
2026-02-08 0.794146 2.538153 6.406842 14.510403 29.632235 54.880832 97.895572
2026-02-15 0.688001 2.316026 6.048892 14.055691 29.268346 55.020631 99.385037